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Sunday, January 23, 2005
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NFL Conference Finals Trends and Previews
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New England @ Pittsburgh (Sun Jan 23)
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS L/5 against the Steelers and 4-2 ATS L/6
away against Pittsburgh.
Four of the L/6 meetings have gone ’over’ the set total.
The Steelers have won 15 consecutive games and 10-4-1 ATS over that
span and are 6-3 ATS L/9 at home.
New England is 8-2 ATS L/10 and has covered three straight.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS L/5 on the road.
Pittsburgh has gone ’under’ in 7 of their L/10 games and in
4 of their L/5 at home.
New England has gone ’under’ in 6 of their L/9 games but
’over’ in 5 of their L/7 on the road.
The Pats are 10-3 ATS L/13 January games and overall are a cash
friendly 33-17(66%) L/50.
In contests where the line is set at +3 to -3 the Patriots are
4-1 ATS this season.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS and 30-14 ATS L/44 where the total has been
set at 35 or less.
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS this season against AFC East division opponents
and 5-1 ATS overall as an underdog this season.
New England’s defense is among the leagues toughest to score on allowing
just 16.3 PPG.
The Steelers won the leagues stingiest D allowing just 15.7 PPG.
Final note: Things may change, but a large winter storm
is expected this Sunday for much of Pennsylvania - Expected starting
QB’s Roethlisberger (Pitts)-14 GP 17 TD’s PYDS 2621 INT
11 PCT 66.4% Rating 98.1 versus Brady (NE)-GP 16 TD’s 28 PYDS
3692 INT 14 PCT 60.8% Rating 92.6
Atlanta @ Philadelphia (Sun Jan 23)
The Eagles are 6-0 ATS L/6 versus the Falcons.
Three of the L/4 meetings in this series went under the set total.
Philadelphia is just 1-4 ATS L/5 overall and 6-3 ATS L/9 at home.
The Falcons are 3-1-1 ATS L/5 overall.
The Eagles have gone ’under’ the set ’total’ in
4 of their L/5 games and in 6 of their L/8 at home.
Atlanta has gone ’under’ in 18 of their L/26 overall and
in 14 of their L/19 on the road.
Philly is 29-12 ATS in their L/41 conference confrontations.
The Eagles have gone ’under’ the set ’total’ in
10 of their L/13 against conference opponents.
The Falcons lead the league in rushing yards averaging 167 YPG but have
the leagues third worst passing game that averages just 151 YPG.
The Eagles own one of the top two defenses in the NFL and allow
only 16.3 PPG.
Final note: Things may change, but a large winter storm
is expected this Sunday for much of Pennsylvania - Expected starting
QB’s Vick (Atl) 15 GP TD’s 14 PYDS INT 12 PCT 56.4% Rating
78.1 versus McNabb (Phil) GP 15 TD’s 31 PYDS 3875 INT 8 PCT
63.8% Rating 104
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